Our study modelling the concentration of the human pathogen Vibrio vulnificus has been published in Science of the Total Environment. In the effort, we are able to explain 80% of the variability in V. vulnificus concentration in the Ala Wai Canal using rainfall, temperature, water nitrogen (nitrate + nitrite) and humic dissolved organic matter (DOM). We show how the model can be used to predict future V. vulnificus concentrations including a 2-3 fold increase in concentration by 2100.
The study included colleagues at the University of Hawaiʻi and Hawaiʻi Pacific University and was led by Jessica Bullington, now at Stanford University.
Read more here:
Bullington, J.A., A.R. Golder, G.F. Steward, M.A. McManus, A.B. Neuheimer, B.T. Glazer, O.D. Nigro & C.E. Nelson. 2022. Refining real-time predictions of Vibrio vulnificus concentrations in a tropical urban estuary by incorporating dissolved organic matter dynamics. Science of the Total Environment. 829: 154075. (link)
